Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.242722 0.280456 0.323400 0.376161 0.439598 0.513870 0.608071
2025-09-21 0.185053 0.233623 0.295212 0.380215 0.496356 0.652271 0.882259
2025-09-28 0.150529 0.202203 0.272974 0.379395 0.539708 0.779619 1.180823
2025-10-05 0.131126 0.185084 0.263734 0.390728 0.598659 0.941109 1.583648
2025-10-12 0.116295 0.170954 0.254847 0.398727 0.651975 1.106281 2.054489
2025-10-19 0.104628 0.159238 0.246876 0.405362 0.703043 1.280816 2.615502
2025-10-26 0.096258 0.151200 0.243052 0.417578 0.766283 1.497067 3.366763
2025-11-02 0.088006 0.142026 0.235577 0.421201 0.813079 1.693867 4.174736
2025-11-09 0.080609 0.133238 0.227291 0.421354 0.852298 1.886538 5.083076
2025-11-16 0.073842 0.124664 0.218065 0.417696 0.881984 2.066500 6.068717
2025-11-23 0.067624 0.116328 0.208094 0.410552 0.901711 2.228038 7.107559
2025-11-30 0.064163 0.112700 0.206738 0.421788 0.969358 2.549510 8.989961
2025-12-07 0.059064 0.105477 0.197425 0.413873 0.987257 2.736026 10.519204
2025-12-14 0.055564 0.101023 0.193291 0.417517 1.038267 3.054032 12.996351
2025-12-21 0.052040 0.096142 0.187619 0.416418 1.075925 3.346629 15.711508
2025-12-28 0.049935 0.093922 0.187420 0.429057 1.158752 3.850020 20.379462
2026-01-04 0.047738 0.091271 0.185901 0.438001 1.233313 4.366581 26.059764
2026-01-11 0.045626 0.088579 0.183943 0.445428 1.305813 4.922273 33.213358
2026-01-18 0.044063 0.086919 0.184184 0.459112 1.405311 5.673410 44.024163
2026-01-25 0.042062 0.084090 0.181271 0.463171 1.471780 6.313552 55.720942
2026-02-01 0.040016 0.080971 0.177282 0.463343 1.524170 6.923334 69.304873
2026-02-08 0.037922 0.077560 0.172182 0.459244 1.558881 7.465313 84.306163
2026-02-15 0.035811 0.073935 0.166156 0.451240 1.575493 7.917409 100.178867